(CBS 5) – The third time may be the charm for Republican David Harmer as he tries to get elected to Congress, according to a KPIX-TV CBS 5 poll released Tuesday.
The poll, conducted for CBS 5 by SurveyUSA, found Harmer edges out Democratic Congressman Jerry McNerney in California’s 11th congressional district by 48% to 42%.
Among men, Harmer leads by 20 points, while among women, McNerney leads by six – a 26-point gender gap, the polling data showed.
Harmer has a bubble of support among voters ages 35 to 49, but the poll found the candidates were effectively even among older voters.
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Harmer, who previously ran unsuccessfully for Congress in Utah’s 2nd District in 1996 and in California’s neighboring 10th Congressional District in a special election last year, takes 8 of 10 Republican votes. Meantime, McNerney, who is seeking a third term, takes 8 of 10 Democratic votes. Independents break 5:3 for the Republican, according to the poll.
SurveyUSA polled 624 likely voters from California’s 11th Congressional District from 10/08/10 through 10/11/10. The poll has a margin of error of plus or minus four percent.
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