CBS 5 Poll: Harmer Could Unseat McNerney

(CBS 5) – The third time may be the charm for Republican David Harmer as he tries to get elected to Congress, according to a KPIX-TV CBS 5 poll released Tuesday.

The poll, conducted for CBS 5 by SurveyUSA, found Harmer edges out Democratic Congressman Jerry McNerney in California’s 11th congressional district by 48% to 42%.

Among men, Harmer leads by 20 points, while among women, McNerney leads by six – a 26-point gender gap, the polling data showed.

Harmer has a bubble of support among voters ages 35 to 49, but the poll found the candidates were effectively even among older voters.

KCBS Phil Matier On Poll Results

Harmer, who previously ran unsuccessfully for Congress in Utah’s 2nd District in 1996 and in California’s neighboring 10th Congressional District in a special election last year, takes 8 of 10 Republican votes. Meantime, McNerney, who is seeking a third term, takes 8 of 10 Democratic votes. Independents break 5:3 for the Republican, according to the poll.

SurveyUSA polled 624 likely voters from California’s 11th Congressional District from 10/08/10 through 10/11/10. The poll has a margin of error of plus or minus four percent.

Download complete CBS 5 poll results (.pdf)

(© 2010 CBS Broadcasting Inc. All Rights Reserved. This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten, or redistributed.)

  • CA11 Employer

    All of the McNerney’s advertising has been negative and outright dishonest. One of his claims is that Harmer would pay employers to ship jobs overseas. He cites Harmer’s support of the ATR Pledge. I read the pledge and it simply says you agree not to raise taxes on anyone. You can decide if that is just another lie from a desperate politician.

  • EastBay Rep

    AWESOME!! Go David! Throw out the trash! Go to and watch the Contra Costa Times debate between McNerney and Harmer under the video section. What a STARK contrast!

  • Small Biz Owner District 11

    I agree CA11 employer! I get all these negative direct mail brochures from the DNC that fully distort any semblance of the truth, then contain a disclaimer that no candidate (ie McNerney) issued or directly endorses the brochure content. So no one is held accountable or responsible for the shameless, truthless attacks. It’s an outrage and I hope the DNC falls BIG TIME in November.

  • Mike Knell

    McNerney could save the State of California billions of dollars each year, by establishing a Telecommunications Consumer’s Bill of Rights, but it looks like he was bought by AT&T.

    See this website:

    • PoliticalAnimal

      McNerney ‘could save’ billions of CA dollars? Then why did he COST the taxpayers trillions of dollars as a two-term Congressman via Obamacare, TARP, Stimulus and other costly & failed government programs?

      He’s had his chance and he’s failed.

      Vote for David Harmer if you want a job or to keep your home.

  • PoliticalAnimal

    GO David Harmer. He understands economics and job creation. I’m voting for him!

  • Jon

    Look at McNerney’s voting record. He’s lock step with Pelosi every single vote. He doesn’t represent our district, only those of his party affiliation.

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