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KPIX 5 Poll: Quan Struggling In Re-Election Bid, Kaplan Has Double-Digit Lead In Oakland Mayor's Race

OAKLAND (KPIX 5) -- With about six weeks to go until Election Day, a new KPIX 5 / Survey USA poll released Thursday finds Oakland Mayor Jean Quan is in trouble as she seeks re-election. The poll finds those who supported her four years ago are abandoning her in droves.

The poll of 565 likely voters (.pdf) finds mayoral candidate and City Councilmember Rebecca Kaplan with a double-digit lead over Quan, 24 percent to 12 percent.

"Every poll has shown the voters overwhelmingly choosing me," Kaplan said.

Councilmember Libby Schaaf also has 12 percent, while professor and former KPIX 5 political analyst Joe Tuman has 11 percent. Ten other candidates are in single digits, and 19 percent of likely voters are undecided.

"I think it's gonna be a street fight," Quan told KPIX 5.

"My view is not about fighting against anybody. My view is that my commitment is to fight for Oakland," Kaplan said.

Among those who made Quan their first pick for mayor in 2010, only 25 percent said in the survey that they would do the same today.

When asked about the results, Quan said, "I walk door-to-door. I'm actually doing pretty good door-to-door in the neighborhoods."

A second poll released Thursday provided more bad news for the Quan campaign. In that poll, 29 percent of respondents said they would never vote for the mayor.

Quan claims she is unfazed. "All the polls when I ran for mayor last time showed me in third place too, but I still won," the mayor said.

The KPIX 5 / SurveyUSA has a margin of error of plus / minus of 4.2 percent.

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